4 Aug · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Vinansky
ELO 1515
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vinansky
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1487
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Vinansky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.