4 Aug · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zustina
ELO 1471
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zustina
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1453
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Zustina rarely covers set handicap as favourite 8% (13)
Fair odds · Zustina
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.