4 Aug · 13:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1467
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Branny
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1438
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Janik🌟Branny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (22)
Fair odds · Branny
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.