4 Aug · 09:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1611
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zacharda
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1612
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Prochazka covers set handicap as underdog 79% (24)
Fair odds · Zacharda
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.