4 Aug · 14:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1515
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tlusty
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1528
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sykora🌟Sykora covers set handicap as underdog 66% (61)
Fair odds · Tlusty
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H28-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.