4 Aug · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1438
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vinansky
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Vinansky
ELO 1515
FormLLLLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Vinansky
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)