4 Aug · 14:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1487
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kanak
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1467
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.