4 Aug · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LM
🇨🇿Ladislav Moravec
ELO 1444
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zahradka
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1473
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Zahradka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (129)
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.