4 Aug · 14:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1473
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zahradka
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1452
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Filipek🌟Filipek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (104)
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H21-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.