4 Aug · 08:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1438
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Drozd
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1516
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)