4 Aug · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1434
FormWWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Fitl
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1535
FormLWWLL
42%
58%
🌟Pros goes over total as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)