4 Aug · 12:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1471
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kanak
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1487
FormLLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.