4 Aug · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1515
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1601
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Sykora covers set handicap as underdog 66% (61)
Fair odds · Rek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)