4 Aug · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1601
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rek
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1528
FormWWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)