4 Aug · 12:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1507
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sturma
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1441
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
🌟Sturma rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (48)
Fair odds · Sturma
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)