4 Aug · 12:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1618
FormLWLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Stepien
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1474
FormWWLWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+144
H2H119-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (119-54)