4 Aug · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1505
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Wloszek
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1469
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Wloszek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.98· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H63-48
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.