4 Aug · 21:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1465
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Reska
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1503
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Kus stays under total as underdog 69% (32)
Fair odds · Reska
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H12-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.