4 Aug · 21:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1420
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1541
FormWWLWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+121
H2H96-72
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (96-72)