4 Aug · 16:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Bartik
ELO 1686
FormWWLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Bartik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1463
FormLLWLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Bartik
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~79 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+223
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+223)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)