4 Aug · 16:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1499
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Cesak
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cesak
ELO 1574
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Cesak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (49)
Fair odds · Cesak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)