4 Aug · 18:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1666
FormLLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Niezgoda
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1522
FormLWWLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+144
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)