4 Aug · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1522
FormLWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kowal
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1623
FormWWWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Kowal
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)