4 Aug · 20:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Barsa
ELO 1512
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Barsa
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1488
FormWWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Barsa
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H14-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.