4 Aug · 17:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1436
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jokiel
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1416
FormWWWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ogrocki🌟Ogrocki stays under total as underdog 68% (34)
Fair odds · Jokiel
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H7-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.