4 Aug · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Bartik
ELO 1686
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Bartik
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1579
FormLWWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Bartik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H13-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)