4 Aug · 21:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1499
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cibik
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1489
FormWWWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dlask🌟Cibik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (76)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.