4 Aug · 20:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1420
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1499
FormLLWLW
44%
56%
🌟Cibik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (76)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H22-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-10)