4 Aug · 22:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1552
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ruzicka
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1533
FormWLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Ruzicka stays under total as favourite 68% (22)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.