4 Aug · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FK
🇨🇿Filip Karel
ELO 1638
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Karel
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1579
FormLWWWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Karel
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)