4 Aug · 20:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1489
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1541
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
🌟Dlask covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H38-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.