4 Aug · 17:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1399
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ogrocki
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1416
FormWWWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Ogrocki
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H6-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.