4 Aug · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1579
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Mastera
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1463
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Mastera
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)