4 Aug · 22:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MD
🇨🇿Miroslav Dolezal
ELO 1443
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dolezal
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dokoupil
ELO 1442
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Dolezal
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.