4 Aug · 20:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1503
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Reska
KP
🇨🇿Kamil Przeczek
ELO 1473
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Reska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (29)
Fair odds · Reska
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.