4 Aug · 21:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1552
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ruzicka
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1513
FormWWWLL
53%
47%
🌟Ruzicka stays under total as favourite 68% (22)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.