4 Aug · 21:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1590
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Macurak
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1503
FormLLWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)