4 Aug · 20:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1504
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jr
MD
🇨🇿Miroslav Dolezal
ELO 1443
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
🌟Dolezal covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)