4 Aug · 21:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1480
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jirka
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jirka
ELO 1590
FormWLWWW
41%
59%
🌟Jirka covers set handicap as favourite 71% (14)
Fair odds · Jirka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H1-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)