4 Aug · 19:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PK
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1347
FormLWWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1579
FormWLWLL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+232
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+232)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)