04 Aug · 16:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1548
3-1Final setsRak won
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1592
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Kowal at 55%. The actual result was Jonas Rak 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Rene Kowal favoured — closing 1.61
Total 75.5
70 points played
Set handicap
Rene Kowal −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Rene Kowal −0.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jonas Rak is favoured to win, below means Rene Kowal.
▲ Jonas Rakpre 41% → final 95%
Rene Kowal ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsRak recovered from 29%71 points · 4 games