5 Aug · 14:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1693
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Benak
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1638
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (23)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H5-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.