5 Aug · 13:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FD
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1553
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dvorak
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1480
FormLWLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H21-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)