5 Aug · 13:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1450
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Benes
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1501
FormLLLLL
46%
54%
🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (85)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.