5 Aug · 11:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1494
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jr
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1488
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.