5 Aug · 10:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1467
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kral
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1444
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Kral rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (50)
Fair odds · Kral
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.