5 Aug · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1532
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jr
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1450
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (51)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H14-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-6)