5 Aug · 13:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1568
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fitl
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1547
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Fitl stays under total as favourite 65% (23)
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.