5 Aug · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1482
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chlad
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1400
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chvojka🌟Chlad rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (29)
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)