5 Aug · 14:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1466
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dvorak
FD
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1553
FormWLWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H52-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (52-29)